The Independence Number

The Independence Number
is the one nobody gave you.

How much strength and balance do you need today to still be doing things for yourself at 85?

Fifteen minutes. A chair and a tape measure. No signup. You see your results first.


I'm 47, two young kids, and I have a spreadsheet for retirement. I know what I need saved by 60.

Recently I started thinking about whether I'd be strong enough to enjoy retirement. How long will I be able to do things for myself? Driving. Stairs. Getting off the floor without a hand. I couldn't find a number, so I read the research and built this.

It won't predict your lifespan and it won't give you one score. No published method exists for combining these tests. Every row shows how strong its own evidence is.

Sample

What a result looks like

SAMPLE · man, 47, at the published median for his age · target age 85

Row Your value Range for 47 Need today for 85 Evidence State
Gait speed 1.43 m/s 1.30–1.57 · 50th pct 1.63 strong · 23,111 people ● Behind by −0.20
Aerobic capacity 33.7 mL/kg/min 28–41 · 50th pct 34.4 strong · 16,278 tests ● Behind by −0.70
Sitting-rising 8 of 10 ≥ 8 8 limited · one clinic ✓ On track by +0.0

Six more rows on the full panel.

Every number above is a published median for a 47-year-old man. Not a real person. And not a flattering picture. Average is already behind.

Read the method and the evidence →

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Writings

The argument, at length

Why the number exists, and where the research behind it gets quoted wrongly.

All writings →